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The views expressed are based purely on Technical studies. The calls made herein are for information purpose only. The information and views presented here are prepared by Devang Shah.The information contained herein is based on my analysis of the Charts. I, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. This material is for personal information and I am not responsible for any loss incurred based upon it. The Investment discussed & recommended on this website may not be suitable for all. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial position and using such independent Views, as they believe necessary.
While acting upon any information or analysis mentioned on this website, investors may please note that neither Devang Shah nor any person connected with him accepts any liability arising from the use of this information and views mentioned herein. I may hold long or short positions in the securities/commodities discussed herein from time to time. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes an offer or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities/commodities, or any options, futures or other derivatives related to such securities/commodities.

Currencies


Tuesday, March 01, 2016


  Rupee

RUPEE
USD/INR
CMP-$68.39: LONG TERM TARGET ACHIEVD:
END OF 5 WAVE ADVANCE RALLY:
EXPECTING RUPEE TO APPRECIATE AGAINST USD IN SHORT, MEDIUM & LONG TERM PERSPECTIVES FOR LOWER LEVELS TARGETS:
BIG TREND REVERSAL: TRAIL TILL IT REVERSES:

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Rupee closed $ 68.39 levels on 01.03.2016. It closed daily in negative territory. It has broken out on down side from ending diagonal pattern in wave-V as per chart attached. It has achieved my long term targets of $ 69 near recent high as expected earlier. It made a high of $68.89 levels on 25.02.2016.

It has completed 5 wave advance rally in channel as per chart attached. It has also formed double top kind of pattern as per chart attached. It also looks like 5 wave decline fall from recent top as per hourly charts. It has achieved my long term targets levels near upper end of channel as expected earlier. Based on these all evidences, it looks like BIG TREND reversal in USD/INR from short, medium & long term perspectives.

It also looks like completion of 5 wave advance rally as per monthly chart attached here with. It can be ABC rise or end of wave-3 is still not conclusive to me from wave count perspectives. But one can expect correction in USD/INR till these recent high surpasses for lower levels targets as mentioned below.

Short term target- $66.85/$65.90
Medium term target- $64 / $63.25
Long term target-$61/ $58.25

One should keep SL-$68.90 levels for the same. Conclusively, I am expecting Rupee to appreciate against USD in short, medium & long term perspectives for lower levels targets till trend reverses.



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