Indices
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
INDICES:INDICES:
NIFTY COMPARISION OF 2010-2011 TIME WISE CORRECTIVE MAKRET WITH CURRENT 2015-16 TIME WISE CORRECITVE MAKRET:
HOW TO IDENTIFY MEDIUM TERM BOTTOM???? (SOME TIMES SIMPLE ANALYSIS WORKS BETTER THEN COMPLEX ANALYSIS)
We do a lot of analysis in market to identify medium term TOP & BOTTOM on main indices i.e. - Nifty & Sensex. What I have seen esp. such kind of complex corrective time wise bear market, simple analysis works better then complex analysis to identify medium term bottom or top & i.e. Simple “DOW THEROY ANALYSIS” But we may sometimes forget such simple analysis while busy in complex Analysis.
I have made a comparison of 2010/11 Complex corrective market with current one of 2015-16 as per chart attached. In such cases if market violates LOWER TOP then, only we get first confirmation of medium term reversal.
Therefore, in present scenario as well, I kept my medium term reversal as 7973 levels on nifty & 26,198 levels on sensex which are previous TOP, If we are not able to surpass it, then, we will not get confirmation of medium term reversal & eventually prepare for further lower levels targets in medium term as per market outlook & also as per chart attached.
Therefore conclusively in current scenario, whether 7240 levels on nifty & 23,839 levels on sensex are medium term bottom or not?, is not conclusive till we surpass previous lower tops of 7972 levels on nifty & 26,198 levels on sensex as per chart attached form medium term perspectives.